A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
872 | 833 | 56% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
1055 | 943 | 66% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
1011 | 1307 | 15% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
1194 | 1138 | 58% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
987 | 1055 | 40% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
964 | 1090 | 33% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
1128 | 1019 | 65% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
1073 | 984 | 63% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
1178 | 1307 | 32% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1064.2 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).