An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 4
Defender wins (Nationalist): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
1184 | 1184 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
1160 | 938 | 78% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1091 | 1207 | 34% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
1087 | 1176 | 37% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
996 | 1176 | 26% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1172 | 1040 | 68% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
977 | 955 | 53% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1108.9 vs 1087.5 has a 53.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).