Across the Border
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (16 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1128 | 49% | 2024-05-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-01-22 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 972 | 51% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 929 | 942 | 48% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-05-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 948 | 959 | 48% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-02-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 983 | 55% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1014 | 63% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1032.3 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).