Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
1175 | 1156 | 53% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
988 | 1078 | 37% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
1010 | 1087 | 39% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
1090 | 1048 | 56% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1018 | 1200 | 26% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1103 | 1055 | 57% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1018 | 1074 | 42% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
779 | 1103 | 13% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
1039 | 1068 | 46% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
1013 | 966 | 57% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
1284 | 904 | 90% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
778 | 1249 | 6% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
1158 | 1249 | 37% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
1137 | 1199 | 41% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
1028 | 1045 | 48% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
1094 | 1102 | 49% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
969 | 1012 | 44% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1003 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
1135 | 951 | 74% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
851 | 937 | 38% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
1225 | 1307 | 38% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
1005 | 937 | 60% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
1307 | 1100 | 77% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
933 | 882 | 57% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
986 | 1107 | 33% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
1089 | 1102 | 48% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
969 | 987 | 47% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1074.3 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).