Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (44 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 91
Defender wins (Russian): 88
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 946 | 58% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 1024 | 48% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 927 | 918 | 51% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 946 | 1028 | 38% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 1158 | 24% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 957 | 957 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1055 | 67% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1115 | 32% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1024 | 46% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 1097 | 1009 | 62% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 945 | 1233 | 16% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 938 | 948 | 49% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 945 | 1047 | 36% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1062 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 993 | 54% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 907 | 86% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 755 | 1203 | 7% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1203 | 42% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 988 | 1058 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1004 | 1044 | 44% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 948 | 1195 | 19% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1195 | 948 | 81% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1050 | 42% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1160 | 950 | 77% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 1004 | 938 | 59% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1302 | 39% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 936 | 60% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1302 | 1100 | 76% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 966 | 880 | 62% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1136 | 30% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1160 | 27% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1085 | 1110 | 46% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1023 | 987 | 55% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1051 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).