Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 183 (47 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (Russian): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 1026 | 1228 | 24% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 981 | 1081 | 36% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 917 | 1186 | 18% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1177 | 1186 | 49% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1117 | 54% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1027 | 43% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 982 | 980 | 50% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 959 | 1218 | 18% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 959 | 1134 | 27% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 982 | 24% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 880 | 87% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1256 | 35% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 1024 | 56% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 1204 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1054 | 1043 | 52% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 954 | 1283 | 13% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1123 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1024 | 48% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1229 | 971 | 82% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 974 | 60% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 952 | 936 | 52% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1253 | 46% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1253 | 1100 | 71% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 910 | 879 | 54% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1096 | 34% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1123 | 64% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1117 | 987 | 68% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1076.8 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).