Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (16 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 50
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1133 | 939 | 75% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
976 | 1064 | 38% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
911 | 1035 | 33% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
1019 | 916 | 64% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
855 | 1090 | 21% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
1047 | 999 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
989 | 1019 | 46% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
920 | 970 | 43% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
982 | 937 | 56% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
941 | 1069 | 32% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1027.3 has a 48.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).