One Last Mighty Hew
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1097 | 66% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1020 | 58% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1063 | 55% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1017 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2013-02-24 | Won |
| 1045 | 1087 | 44% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1111 | 1063 | 57% | 2012-02-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1310 | 33% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1111 | 37% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1094 | 40% | 2011-10-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1078 | 47% | 2011-01-16 | Lost |
| 945 | 1039 | 37% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-05-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1073.2 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).