The Riley Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
858 | 1051 | 25% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
995 | 990 | 51% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2013-08-05 | Lost |
990 | 987 | 50% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
992 | 1323 | 13% | 2011-12-27 | Lost |
1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-02-16 | Won |
1097 | 1043 | 58% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1072.8 has a 40.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).