Vogt's Ritterkreuz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Dutch): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1002 | 61% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
959 | 1283 | 13% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
985 | 861 | 67% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Lost |
1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-09 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-04-23 | Won |
948 | 985 | 45% | 2010-10-26 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2010-09-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1029.2 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).