After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1055 | 69% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1109 | 53% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1057 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1055 | 72% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1054 | 45% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.5 vs 1060.7 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).