After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (14 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
855 | 1090 | 21% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
1283 | 1047 | 80% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
1167 | 1068 | 64% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1050 | 1069 | 47% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1064.5 has a 46.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).