The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (34 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 854 | 60% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1005 | 937 | 60% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1080 | 45% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 1142 | 37% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 955 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 1274 | 15% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 978 | 971 | 51% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1018 | 45% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 1020 | 63% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 836 | 907 | 40% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 1109 | 28% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 987 | 945 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 988 | 991 | 50% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1053 | 52% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1145 | 28% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 1063 | 30% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 697 | 1017 | 14% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 851 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 986 vs 1043.8 has a 41.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).