Task Force to Cotignac
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (3 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / FFI): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
969 | 1012 | 44% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
1133 | 1165 | 45% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1153.7 has a 32.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).