Task Force to Cotignac
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / FFI): 12
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 960 | 74% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
1002 | 1122 | 33% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
1075 | 1165 | 37% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1112.4 has a 40.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).