Cellar Dwellers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2026-01-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1059 | 45% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1156 | 45% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 920 | 933 | 48% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 872 | 864 | 51% | 2012-04-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 1037 | 41% | 2011-02-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1098 | 49% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1045 | 44% | 2010-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.6 vs 1028.9 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).