Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (23 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 66
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 884 | 70% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 948 | 1195 | 19% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 1052 | 36% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 873 | 850 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1134 | 29% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 876 | 1060 | 26% | 2013-07-02 | Won |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 996 | 51% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1134 | 855 | 83% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1264 | 917 | 88% | 2010-09-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 1110 | 49% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1036 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1037 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).