Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 943 | 63% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 955 | 1128 | 27% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 941 | 1061 | 33% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 958 | 56% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 872 | 70% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1139 | 44% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1049.1 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).