Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 980 | 58% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 954 | 980 | 46% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 950 | 58% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 872 | 72% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1136 | 44% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1010 | 54% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 975 | 1140 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1036.6 has a 50.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).