Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
1034 | 963 | 60% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
1003 | 1021 | 47% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1131 | 1228 | 36% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1000 | 868 | 68% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
1102 | 1047 | 58% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
1100 | 1090 | 51% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
856 | 1090 | 21% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
1036 | 1093 | 42% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.7 vs 1034.8 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).