Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (8 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Danish): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 907 | 65% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2023-02-15 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1132 | 31% | 2020-05-08 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1103 | 30% | 2019-02-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2016-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1281 | 1097 | 74% | 2014-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2014-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2002-09-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1030.3 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).