French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1080 | 45% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1045 | 73% | 2023-08-18 | Won |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 971 | 1010 | 44% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2022-08-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1244 | 17% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 1193 | 53% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1216 | 28% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1279 | 31% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 945 | 1058 | 34% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1058 | 53% | 2019-04-30 | Won |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1065 | 47% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 907 | 882 | 54% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 905 | 907 | 50% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2016-02-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 982 | 53% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-10-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1022 | 57% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1175 | 1094 | 61% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
| 987 | 1123 | 31% | 2011-04-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1087 | 47% | 2011-04-10 | Won |
| 905 | 1091 | 26% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1017 | 35% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1064 | 63% | 2010-05-14 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2010-03-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1071.2 has a 43.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).