Sink's Encouragement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (33 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1048 | 44% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 917 | 1173 | 19% | 2022-07-19 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1056 | 62% | 2021-10-26 | Lost |
| 945 | 925 | 53% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 964 | 1043 | 39% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 945 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-08-17 | Lost |
| 925 | 1427 | 5% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1178 | 41% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 989 | 53% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-08-29 | Lost |
| 970 | 926 | 56% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 913 | 984 | 40% | 2018-07-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1048 | 48% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-01 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 972 | 67% | 2014-04-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1048 | 48% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1036 | 52% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 996 | 1038 | 44% | 2012-10-31 | Lost |
| 917 | 1008 | 37% | 2012-01-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 870 | 61% | 2011-02-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2011-02-04 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1039 | 68% | 2011-01-24 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1010 | 60% | 2010-02-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1012 | 51% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 913 | 85% | 2009-12-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 943 | 56% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1040.6 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).