Carstens' Lament
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1293 | 988 | 85% | 2022-12-27 | Won |
| 941 | 1308 | 11% | 2018-05-02 | Lost |
| 1079 | 909 | 73% | 2009-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1104.3 vs 1068.3 has a 55.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).