Carstens' Lament
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 925 | 61% | 2026-11-06 | | Won |
| 962 | 1136 | 27% | 2026-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 973 | 93% | 2022-12-27 | | Won |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2018-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2009-10-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1062.4 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).