Swatting a Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
950 | 1284 | 13% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
1258 | 1160 | 64% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
999 | 1307 | 15% | 2013-08-22 | Lost |
982 | 963 | 53% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
1176 | 987 | 75% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
1108 | 1013 | 63% | 2009-07-31 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1109.6 has a 43.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).