Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (6 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1047 | 979 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2013-12-07 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
1153 | 1055 | 64% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
1022 | 995 | 54% | 2010-06-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1095.7 has a 40.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).