Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (6 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German (SS)): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-12-07 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-08-02 | | Won |
| 1130 | 1090 | 56% | 2010-11-23 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-06-19 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1103.2 has a 37.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).