The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1170 | 1144 | 54% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
959 | 984 | 46% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
970 | 1090 | 33% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
1122 | 947 | 73% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
1163 | 1178 | 48% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
1016 | 917 | 64% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
962 | 1035 | 40% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
970 | 1158 | 25% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
1016 | 993 | 53% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
1014 | 1001 | 52% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
1009 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
1059 | 1193 | 32% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
1012 | 1059 | 43% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
1056 | 1081 | 46% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
1056 | 955 | 64% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
988 | 1047 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
988 | 1047 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
1051 | 1043 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
934 | 1066 | 32% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
883 | 934 | 43% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1042.5 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).