The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (22 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1178 | 1144 | 55% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
954 | 984 | 46% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
924 | 1092 | 28% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
938 | 1002 | 41% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
1163 | 1198 | 45% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
962 | 1036 | 40% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
1016 | 993 | 53% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
1006 | 1002 | 51% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
1009 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
1058 | 1042 | 52% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
1057 | 1109 | 43% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
988 | 1047 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
988 | 1047 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
1051 | 1043 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
883 | 1006 | 33% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 1042.6 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).