Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 20
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 1068 | 61% | 2024-06-29 | Won |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1102 | 1087 | 52% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
969 | 976 | 49% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
1047 | 1039 | 51% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1050 | 1044 | 51% | 2019-04-15 | Lost |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2018-12-06 | Lost |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
1026 | 1035 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
1055 | 1088 | 45% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
987 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2009-12-03 | Won |
980 | 1047 | 40% | 2009-12-02 | Won |
969 | 984 | 48% | 2009-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1040.4 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).