Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 872 | 71% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
1143 | 1158 | 48% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
954 | 979 | 46% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
1071 | 964 | 65% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
964 | 1071 | 35% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
938 | 1003 | 41% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
1283 | 1154 | 68% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
934 | 1068 | 32% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
985 | 1004 | 47% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
1021 | 1003 | 53% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
981 | 1055 | 40% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
939 | 1003 | 41% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 1044.1 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).