Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 986 | 50% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
994 | 1004 | 49% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
970 | 1158 | 25% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
1107 | 1035 | 60% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
1090 | 1120 | 46% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
924 | 1126 | 24% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
1147 | 1055 | 63% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1065.2 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).