Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1163 | 1330 | 28% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1214 | 1163 | 57% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1142 | 1104 | 55% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
929 | 919 | 51% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
994 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
992 | 1057 | 41% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
1225 | 1117 | 65% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
1283 | 1050 | 79% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
1074 | 1006 | 60% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
1068 | 1174 | 35% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
995 | 1016 | 47% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
1027 | 1039 | 48% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
1081 | 1016 | 59% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
1059 | 1078 | 47% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1105 | 1000 | 65% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
1214 | 1080 | 68% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
1018 | 1027 | 49% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
1071 | 1103 | 45% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
1021 | 1029 | 49% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
1047 | 890 | 71% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
1131 | 1228 | 36% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
1102 | 1047 | 58% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
934 | 1025 | 37% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
1131 | 1058 | 60% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
1018 | 1027 | 49% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1046.2 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).