Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 930 | 79% | 2026-03-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1220 | 48% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1204 | 51% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1161 | 49% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1108 | 37% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1029 | 43% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1051 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 982 | 70% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1212 | 31% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 748 | 90% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1049 | 72% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1040 | 37% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1129 | 1128 | 50% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1110 | 37% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1213 | 1083 | 68% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1149 | 47% | 2010-05-02 | Won |
| 748 | 1071 | 13% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1212 | 26% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1276 | 1141 | 69% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 893 | 75% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1034 | 45% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1042 | 63% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1212 | 31% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1096 | 81% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1101.6 vs 1061.8 has a 55.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).