Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1060 | 1048 | 52% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
1307 | 1025 | 84% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1043 | 1011 | 55% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
1143 | 1137 | 51% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1039 | 1208 | 27% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
1069 | 1093 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1043 | 1016 | 54% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
1158 | 1155 | 50% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
992 | 1069 | 39% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
1085 | 1075 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
1018 | 1030 | 48% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
1059 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1168 | 69% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
1097 | 979 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
1097 | 979 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
1069 | 1051 | 53% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
944 | 1097 | 29% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1105 | 1018 | 62% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
1073 | 1096 | 47% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
846 | 943 | 36% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1051 | 1090 | 44% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
919 | 1141 | 22% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
1018 | 1141 | 33% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
815 | 1090 | 17% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
1063 | 1131 | 40% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1047 | 1019 | 54% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
986 | 1122 | 31% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
1273 | 1075 | 76% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
890 | 1138 | 19% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
1398 | 1088 | 86% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
1069 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
1069 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
987 | 1055 | 40% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
1003 | 1022 | 47% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
1085 | 1069 | 52% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1066.7 has a 47.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).