Knocking on the Front Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1247 | 1000 | 81% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2012-05-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1069 | 44% | 2009-09-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1038 | 53% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1000.8 has a 59.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).