Second Crack at Caumont
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 247 (46 on the archive and 201 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 124
Defender wins (German): 123
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 1307 | 19% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
1380 | 1398 | 47% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
964 | 1012 | 43% | 2023-08-21 | Won |
1063 | 1036 | 54% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2022-06-12 | Lost |
1283 | 1035 | 81% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
1179 | 1092 | 62% | 2021-01-11 | Won |
1016 | 857 | 71% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-09-27 | Lost |
1060 | 1018 | 56% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
1088 | 964 | 67% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
1064 | 993 | 60% | 2019-01-06 | Won |
1307 | 1202 | 65% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
1043 | 1029 | 52% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
969 | 926 | 56% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
905 | 1283 | 10% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2015-08-31 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-09-19 | Won |
1138 | 1014 | 67% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
1069 | 1091 | 47% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
943 | 781 | 72% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
1068 | 987 | 61% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
937 | 1061 | 33% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2012-03-18 | Lost |
1155 | 985 | 73% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
1111 | 987 | 67% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
1143 | 1228 | 38% | 2011-06-17 | Lost |
902 | 1010 | 35% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
1019 | 904 | 66% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
997 | 968 | 54% | 2009-04-22 | Won |
1076 | 1097 | 47% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-03-18 | Lost |
981 | 1000 | 47% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
1228 | 1022 | 77% | 2009-02-06 | Won |
1030 | 959 | 60% | 2009-01-13 | Won |
1075 | 1227 | 29% | 2009-01-03 | Won |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2008-10-28 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2008-08-12 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1053.9 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).