ASL Scenario Archive

First Cristot

Games with no balance used/recorded: 38

Attacker wins (British): 14

Defender wins (German (SS)): 22

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (British): 0

Defender wins (German (SS)): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1004	1002	50%	2024-09-16	Lost
964	957	51%	2024-06-23	Won
1010	993	52%	2023-02-27	Won
1004	1002	50%	2022-12-18	Won
1233	1032	76%	2020-10-08	Lost
1223	944	83%	2020-04-07	Lost
1145	1158	48%	2018-04-10	Lost
1105	1219	34%	2018-04-07	Lost
1052	1010	56%	2017-10-07	Lost
853	1157	15%	2017-06-22	Lost
1021	964	58%	2016-08-20	Lost
1020	1038	47%	2016-04-28	Won
1096	1080	52%	2016-03-19	Lost
1195	1141	58%	2015-08-10	Won
1016	907	65%	2015-06-06	Tied
1048	1195	30%	2015-03-06	Won
1061	1061	50%	2015-02-10	Won
1061	1061	50%	2015-02-10	Lost
938	1203	18%	2014-01-13	Lost
1117	1136	47%	2013-04-11	Won
1137	1137	50%	2012-12-08	Lost
1023	1093	40%	2012-09-25	Lost
1098	1004	63%	2012-07-05	Lost
1033	973	59%	2012-03-24	Lost
1010	1013	50%	2011-03-12	Lost
880	1022	31%	2011-02-12	Lost
983	987	49%	2011-01-19	Lost
920	920	50%	2009-07-07	Lost
1096	1098	50%	2009-04-18	Lost
1098	1096	50%	2009-04-13	Won
1096	1099	50%	2009-02-07	Won
1302	1285	52%	2009-01-07	Won
1064	1064	50%	2008-12-05	Won
1002	1015	48%	2008-11-09	Lost
1065	1228	28%	2008-10-25	Won
888	1079	25%	2008-10-09	Won
1228	1132	63%	2008-09-05	Lost
1105	1219	34%		Lost

Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1071.7 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).