First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 964 | 964 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1222 | 1035 | 75% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 945 | 64% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1216 | 39% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1019 | 55% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1114 | 1142 | 46% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 917 | 1205 | 16% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1077 | 1102 | 46% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1077 | 54% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1181 | 20% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1094 | 40% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1033 | 59% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 975 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 880 | 1021 | 31% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1044 | 41% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 1285 | 54% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 887 | 1031 | 30% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1216 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1072.2 has a 47.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).