The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1045 | 47% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 926 | 1184 | 18% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1301 | 1400 | 36% | 2015-03-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1184 | 36% | 2013-12-31 | Tied |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 697 | 87% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 969 | 829 | 69% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1015.9 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).