Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 991 | 1150 | 29% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 966 | 1150 | 26% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 964 | 75% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 848 | 74% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 929 | 64% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 871 | 893 | 47% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1106 | 46% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 1041 | 1025 | 52% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1003.5 vs 1014.7 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).