Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 756 | 86% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 932 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1092 | 51% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 1174 | 34% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1028 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).