Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (14 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
989 | 933 | 58% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
977 | 896 | 61% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
1001 | 1197 | 24% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1131 | 1062 | 60% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
1087 | 986 | 64% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1063.2 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).