Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1100 | 48% | 2019-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 933 | 63% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1183 | 26% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1056 | 61% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 962 | 60% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 986 | 64% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1048.3 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).