Russe! Drown in the Wolga!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (21 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 46
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 959 | 62% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 866 | 809 | 58% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 879 | 71% | 2019-03-10 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-05-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 998 | 53% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1020 | 47% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 942 | 1310 | 11% | 2014-11-06 | Tied |
| 1228 | 992 | 80% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2012-07-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
| 1148 | 952 | 76% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1116 | 48% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-11-02 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2008-04-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1016.5 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).