Mercury Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1034 | 1057 | 47% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
1063 | 1122 | 42% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
999 | 1159 | 28% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
963 | 1034 | 40% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
1047 | 1041 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
1078 | 842 | 80% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
992 | 1022 | 46% | 2013-01-01 | Lost |
960 | 952 | 51% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2012-09-20 | Lost |
1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
1061 | 1103 | 44% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1034.8 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).