Keitel and Cox
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
1115 | 1143 | 46% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
1144 | 917 | 79% | 2020-12-10 | Lost |
1178 | 992 | 74% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1178 | 1144 | 55% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
1026 | 917 | 65% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
1033 | 858 | 73% | 2020-01-08 | Tied |
858 | 1033 | 27% | 2020-01-08 | Lost |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
1029 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
938 | 1160 | 22% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
945 | 1038 | 37% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
869 | 950 | 39% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
991 | 1033 | 44% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2007-10-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1018.7 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).