Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 960 | 937 | 53% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 945 | 984 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1310 | 13% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1087 | 43% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 917 | 975 | 42% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 982 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1028 | 67% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 917 | 65% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 965 | 1060 | 37% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 963 | 75% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 931 | 59% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 929 | 1100 | 27% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1050.1 has a 45.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).