Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
909 | 966 | 42% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
927 | 981 | 42% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
979 | 1307 | 13% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
1028 | 987 | 56% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1067 | 1013 | 58% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
1037 | 1138 | 36% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
1055 | 974 | 61% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1067 | 982 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
1135 | 1028 | 65% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
969 | 1055 | 38% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
964 | 1066 | 36% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
1154 | 963 | 75% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
994 | 937 | 58% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
943 | 1102 | 29% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
1006 | 1102 | 37% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 1056.7 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).