Winter of Their Discontent
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Italian / German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2024-02-18 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
966 | 909 | 58% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
958 | 1068 | 35% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
1040 | 1093 | 42% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1011 | 85% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1110 | 1089 | 53% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
1025 | 1289 | 18% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
1107 | 1112 | 49% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2013-01-09 | Lost |
1117 | 1397 | 17% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-10-15 | Won |
1010 | 901 | 65% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2008-03-14 | Won |
1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
1061 | 1123 | 41% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
1102 | 1015 | 62% | 2006-01-12 | Lost |
1037 | 1101 | 41% | 2005-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1074.3 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).