Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
1004 | 1015 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
1095 | 911 | 74% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
918 | 1063 | 30% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
1086 | 1227 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
1307 | 1193 | 66% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
1108 | 987 | 67% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1073.1 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).