Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
1129 | 1143 | 48% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
1163 | 1141 | 53% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
1075 | 1071 | 51% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
1004 | 1015 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
1090 | 1005 | 62% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
1120 | 1051 | 60% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
915 | 1069 | 29% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
1086 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
1307 | 1194 | 66% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
1055 | 987 | 60% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1078.8 vs 1083.9 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).