Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Romanian): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
966 | 1001 | 45% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
1200 | 948 | 81% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
948 | 1200 | 19% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
1077 | 1200 | 33% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
1200 | 1077 | 67% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
929 | 1022 | 37% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1093.6 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).