Marders not Martyrs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 207 (44 on the archive and 163 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 117
Defender wins (German): 89
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1025 | 1307 | 16% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
936 | 938 | 50% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
983 | 1033 | 43% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
1112 | 1088 | 53% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
1175 | 949 | 79% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
1429 | 925 | 95% | 2022-03-31 | Won |
1018 | 1429 | 9% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
944 | 1076 | 32% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2021-08-09 | Lost |
953 | 1109 | 29% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
1016 | 1005 | 52% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
960 | 1013 | 42% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
983 | 985 | 50% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
938 | 985 | 43% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
983 | 985 | 50% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2013-01-07 | Won |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
1095 | 1017 | 61% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
945 | 959 | 48% | 2011-06-20 | Won |
987 | 1117 | 32% | 2010-09-07 | Lost |
953 | 1003 | 43% | 2010-08-23 | Lost |
1115 | 959 | 71% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
996 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-03-20 | Tied |
982 | 1012 | 46% | 2008-09-02 | Won |
978 | 925 | 58% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
994 | 1131 | 31% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
1062 | 959 | 64% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2007-10-17 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2007-09-18 | Won |
1080 | 1197 | 34% | 2007-06-20 | Won |
1037 | 1185 | 30% | 2006-12-02 | Won |
1055 | 1105 | 43% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-11-14 | Won |
1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2006-09-30 | Lost |
1058 | 1065 | 49% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
965 | 1005 | 44% | 2006-09-05 | Won |
905 | 1013 | 35% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1053.8 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).