Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 186 (15 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 95
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 867 | 62% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
1055 | 1090 | 45% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1006 | 1009 | 50% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
1055 | 880 | 73% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
964 | 1090 | 33% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
1228 | 1143 | 62% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
1043 | 960 | 62% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
1075 | 1085 | 49% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
856 | 1075 | 22% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1059.6 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).