A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1097 | 44% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
962 | 1110 | 30% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
1112 | 1107 | 51% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
1123 | 1249 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1249 | 1123 | 67% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
1049 | 1183 | 32% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
979 | 1048 | 40% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1224 | 991 | 79% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
986 | 1107 | 33% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
864 | 1068 | 24% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1087.3 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).