Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (11 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 58
Defender wins (Chinese): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1041 | 1068 | 46% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
1002 | 1010 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
1047 | 986 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
1094 | 968 | 67% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
1138 | 1102 | 55% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
888 | 1063 | 27% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
1091 | 1114 | 47% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
1003 | 779 | 78% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
978 | 1078 | 36% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
945 | 1069 | 33% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1028.4 has a 49.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).