Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (11 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
913 | 970 | 42% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
980 | 1075 | 37% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
928 | 902 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
1398 | 1172 | 79% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
1398 | 1098 | 85% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1086.5 vs 1030.1 has a 58.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).