Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (11 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 913 | 971 | 42% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 979 | 1118 | 31% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 901 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1400 | 1172 | 79% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1400 | 1098 | 85% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1027.7 has a 58.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).