Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (12 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 1221 | 18% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 992 | 60% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 1012 | 66% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 986 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1344 | 1148 | 76% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1019 | 70% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1061 | 42% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1209 | 26% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1344 | 19% | 2003-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1096.7 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).