Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (15 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2026-09-19 | | Won |
| 1159 | 987 | 73% | 2026-09-18 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2024-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1266 | 32% | 2020-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2017-11-14 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-11-12 | | Won |
| 1141 | 987 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2011-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-10-27 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2005-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1209 | 26% | 2005-08-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2003-11-01 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1109.6 vs 1058.2 has a 57.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).