Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1086 | 47% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1045 | 43% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1064 | 1013 | 57% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1134 | 965 | 73% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1061 | 1165 | 35% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1036 | 53% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 949 | 75% | 2003-06-07 | Won |
| 833 | 1175 | 12% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 827 | 1150 | 13% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1070.5 has a 45.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).