Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (11 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 55
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 1251 | 12% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1100 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 942 | 1145 | 24% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 941 | 1031 | 37% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1098 | 39% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1001 | 70% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1193 | 33% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 973 | 1098 | 33% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1147 | 1147 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1105.5 has a 38.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).