Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (11 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 55
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 921 | 58% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1100 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1130 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1098 | 39% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1001 | 64% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1118 | 43% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1098 | 52% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1072 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).