A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1105 | 1084 | 53% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
1069 | 1020 | 57% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
1069 | 861 | 77% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 988.3 has a 63.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).