Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 884 | 57% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1121 | 25% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1131 | 43% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1078 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 915 | 80% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1236 | 1184 | 57% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1236 | 1220 | 52% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1091 | 40% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 613 | 83% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1085 | 981 | 65% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1005 | 64% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 1156 | 50% | 2005-09-01 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1018 | 87% | 2002-06-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 901 | 82% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1347 | 10% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1347 | 959 | 90% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1005 | 54% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1110 | 34% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1032.3 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).