Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (15 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (German): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
1160 | 1187 | 46% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
1160 | 1327 | 28% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
992 | 1185 | 25% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
977 | 614 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
913 | 1157 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
913 | 1157 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
1062 | 1183 | 33% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
1030 | 994 | 55% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
1055 | 1261 | 23% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
1261 | 1055 | 77% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
1204 | 994 | 77% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1060.3 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).