Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 988 | 41% | 2026-03-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1193 | 27% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1069 | 56% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1139 | 51% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 900 | 1203 | 15% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1221 | 752 | 94% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1040 | 839 | 76% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1036 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1221 | 959 | 82% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1232 | 1177 | 58% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1007 | 45% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1061 | 67% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2004-07-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1044 | 61% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 1066 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 1067 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 827 | 972 | 30% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1233 | 65% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1033 | 1023 | 51% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1023 | 68% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 1997-06-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 923 | 63% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1025.5 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).