Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1114 | 943 | 73% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
1064 | 1142 | 39% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
926 | 1311 | 10% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
1040 | 993 | 57% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
1055 | 842 | 77% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
1157 | 1037 | 67% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
919 | 1003 | 38% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
1136 | 1119 | 52% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
1029 | 1022 | 51% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
1115 | 953 | 72% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
831 | 974 | 31% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
1069 | 923 | 70% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1012.6 has a 56.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).