Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 992 | 50% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
1038 | 1084 | 43% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
964 | 1249 | 16% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
1047 | 841 | 77% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
1055 | 985 | 60% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
1047 | 951 | 63% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
941 | 987 | 43% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1284 | 979 | 85% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
1051 | 1043 | 51% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
1029 | 1008 | 53% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
1008 | 1048 | 44% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
1135 | 975 | 72% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
1033 | 1074 | 44% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
1135 | 1129 | 51% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Lost |
1006 | 1102 | 37% | | Lost |
1006 | 1102 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050 vs 1059.3 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).