Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 841 | 73% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 1019 | 49% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 968 | 57% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 924 | 987 | 41% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 1148 | 976 | 73% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1099 | 41% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1148 | 1129 | 53% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
| 844 | 1055 | 23% | 2003-12-24 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1004 | 57% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1061 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).